Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.87%) and 1-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 53.54% ( | 21.21% ( | 25.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.7% ( | 33.3% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.93% ( | 55.07% ( |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.32% ( | 12.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.14% ( | 38.86% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( | 25.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.76% ( | 60.23% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 3-1 @ 6.48% ( 3-0 @ 4.73% ( 3-2 @ 4.44% ( 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 4-0 @ 2.44% ( 4-2 @ 2.29% ( 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 4-3 @ 1.05% ( 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 5-2 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-3 @ 2.03% ( Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 6.24% ( 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.24% |