Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 20, 2024 8.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Jason Geria 51' redcard
  • Jason Geria 51' redcard
  • Chris Ikonomidis 82' yellowcard
  • Chris Ikonomidis 82' yellowcard

Melbourne Victory vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 12, 2024 8.00am
Wellington 1 - 0 Victory
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 8.30am
Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Thomas Waddingham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.87%) and 1-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Melbourne Victory 53.54% (-0.71)
Draw 21.21% (+0.20)
Brisbane Roar 25.24% (+0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.12% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.7% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 33.3% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 44.93% (-0.53)
Under 3.5 55.07% (+0.53)
Over 4.5 26.23% (-0.45)
Under 4.5 73.76% (+0.45)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 87.32% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 12.68% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 61.14% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 38.86% (+0.75)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 74.58% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 25.42% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 39.76% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 60.23% (-0.16)

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 53.54%
Draw 21.21%
Brisbane Roar 25.24%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.65% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 6.48% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3.35% (-0.10)
4-0 @ 2.44% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 2.29% (-0.06)
5-1 @ 1.38% (-0.06)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 53.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.12% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 6.45% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 3.22% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 21.21%
Brisbane Roar
1-2 @ 6.24% (+0.11)
0-1 @ 4.41% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.02% (+0.10)
2-3 @ 2.94% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.85% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.38% (+0.05)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-98.80)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 25.24%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2024 6.00am
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • Marco Rojas 23' goal
  • Marco Rojas 23' goal
  • Henry Hore 39' yellowcard
  • Henry Hore 39' yellowcard
  • Marco Rojas 56' goal
  • Marco Rojas 56' goal
  • Antonee Burke-Gilroy 62' yellowcard
  • Antonee Burke-Gilroy 62' yellowcard
  • Thomas Waddingham 70' goal
  • Thomas Waddingham 70' goal
  • Keegan Jelacic 90' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 15'
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 15'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 35'
  • goal Zinedine Machach 35'
  • goal Roly Bonevacia 86'
  • goal Roly Bonevacia 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 29, 2023 10.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • goal Jordan Courtney-Perkins 54'
Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Jan 6, 2023 8.45am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • goal Jay O'Shea 73'
Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Oct 29, 2022 5.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Apr 25, 2022 5.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Alex Parsons 44' yellowcard
  • Rahmat Akbari 47' yellowcard
  • Alex Parsons 54' goal
  • Jay O'Shea 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Ikonomidis 32'
  • goal Brendan Hamill 68'
  • yellowcard Joshua Brillante 84'
Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Apr 12, 2022 10.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rai Marchan 44' yellowcard
  • Leigh Broxham 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicholas Olsen 32'
  • yellowcard Jordan Holmes 87'