Australian A-League Gameweek 21
Mar 14, 2024 8.00am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
  • Tomoki Imai 27' yellowcard
  • Daniel Penha 43' goal
  • Josh Risdon 72' yellowcard
  • Ben Garuccio 90' goal
  • yellowcard Salim Khelifi 53'
  • goal Ben Folami 70'
  • yellowcard Roderick Miranda 72'
  • goal Chris Ikonomidis 79'

Western United vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 8, 2024 8.45am
Western Sydney 1 - 3 Western Utd
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Michael Ruhs

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 9.15am
Adelaide United 1 - 2 Victory
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Western United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Western United 27.65% (+0.06)
Draw 23.21% (+0.04)
Melbourne Victory 49.14% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.16% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.17% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 40.82% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 36.79% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 63.21% (+0.15)
Over 4.5 19.62% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 80.38% (+0.11)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 72.32% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.67% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 36.77% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 63.22% (+0.04)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 83.18% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 16.81% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 53.2% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 46.79% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Western United 27.65%
Draw 23.2%
Melbourne Victory 49.14%
Western United
2-1 @ 6.85% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 5.98% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 3.84% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 27.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.65% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 6.1% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.65% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.2%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.3% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.4% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.65% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.4% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.63% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.18%
Total : 49.14%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Feb 20, 2024 8.00am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Marvel Stadium
  • Nishan Velupillay 13' yellowcard
  • Damien Da Silva 90'+5' goal
  • Damien Da Silva 90'+8' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Ruhs 17'
  • yellowcard Tomoki Imai 21'
  • goal Daniel Penha 60'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Mar 13, 2023 7.00am
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT AAMI Park
  • Bruno Fornaroli 50' goal
  • goal Noah Botic 38'
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 69'
Australian A-League Gameweek 9
Dec 26, 2022 7.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Whitten Oval
  • Josh Risdon 45'+1' goal
Australian A-League
May 21, 2022 8.15am
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT AAMI Park
  • Jake Brimmer 37' goal
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 18'
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 49'
  • yellowcard Josh Risdon 66'
  • goal Lachlan Wales 78'
  • yellowcard Neil Kilkenny 81'
  • goal Dylan Wenzel-Halls 90'+9'
Australian A-League
May 17, 2022 10.05am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT AAMI Park
  • Josh Risdon 56' yellowcard
  • Connor Pain 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Brimmer 50'
  • goal Jake Brimmer 74'
  • yellowcard Chris Ikonomidis 77'
  • yellowcard Tony Popovic 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Mar 23, 2022 8.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rai Marchan 78' yellowcard
  • Brendan Hamill 85' goal
  • Roderick Miranda 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Risdon 13'
  • yellowcard Tomoki Imai 40'
  • goal Nikolai Topor-Stanley 47'
  • yellowcard Lachlan Wales 90'+4'