Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Mar 14, 2024 at 8am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Western Utd
2 - 2
Victory

Penha (43'), Garuccio (90')
Imai (27'), Risdon (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Folami (70'), Ikonomidis (79')
Khelifi (53'), Miranda (72')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-3 Western Utd
Friday, March 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Victory
Saturday, March 9 at 9.15am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Western United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
27.65% ( 0.06)	23.21% ( 0.04)	49.14% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 60.16% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.17% (

-0.14)

40.82% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.79% (

-0.14)

63.21% (

0.14)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.03)

27.67% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

-0.04)

63.22% (

0.04)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.18% (

-0.09)

16.81% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.2% (

-0.16)

46.79% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Western United 27.65%

Melbourne Victory 49.14%

Draw 23.2%

Western United	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.85% Total : 27.65%	1-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.2%	1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.65% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.63% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.18% Total : 49.14%