Australian A-League | Gameweek 16

Feb 10, 2024 at 6.30am UK

Marvel Stadium

Victory
0 - 1
Macarthur

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hollman (21', 21')
Uskok (35'), Uskok (35'), Borges Rodrigues (58'), Borges Rodrigues (58'), Kurto (90+3'), Kurto (90+3')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Victory
Saturday, February 3 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 4-3 Western Sydney
Sunday, February 4 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.52%) and 3-1 (6.39%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Macarthur
52.45% ( 0.68)	21.22% ( 0.06)	26.33% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 66.28% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.72% (

-0.92)

32.29% (

0.92)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.1% (

-1.08)

53.9% (

1.09)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.35% (

-0.11)

12.65% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.19% (

-0.24)

38.81% (

0.25)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88% (

-0.96)

24.12% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.57% (

-1.39)

58.43% (

1.4)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 52.45%

Macarthur 26.33%

Draw 21.22%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 52.45%	1-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.45% Total : 21.22%	1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.72% Total : 26.33%