Australian A-League | Gameweek 10

Dec 30, 2023 at 8.45am UK

AAMI Park

Victory
2 - 0
Adelaide United

Fornaroli (39', 90'), Machach (73')
Fornaroli (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Popovic (62'), Popovic (62'), Lopez (68'), Sanchez (71')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, December 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 3-1 Newcastle Jets
Friday, December 22 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.13%) and 2-0 (5.99%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Adelaide United
49.96% ( -0.07)	21.4% ( 0.13)	28.63% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 67.7% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.73% (

-0.71)

31.27% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.29% (

-0.84)

52.71% (

0.84)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.95% (

-0.27)

13.05% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.37% (

-0.56)

39.63% (

0.56)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.87% (

-0.4)

22.13% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.49% (

-0.61)

55.51% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 49.96%

Adelaide United 28.63%

Draw 21.4%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.29% Total : 49.96%	1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.4%	1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.31% Total : 28.63%