Australian A-League | Gameweek 9

Dec 23, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Melbourne City
0 - 0
Victory

MacLaren (89')
Jakolis (25'), Arslan (28'), Behich (45')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Machach (45'), Miranda (59')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Melbourne City 3-3 Central Coast
Sunday, December 17 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 3-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, December 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Melbourne Victory
52.31% ( 0.56)	21.85% ( -0.04)	25.84% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 63.38% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.15% (

-0.23)

35.85% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.07% (

-0.25)

57.93% (

0.25)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.07% (

0.1)

13.93% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.62% (

0.19)

41.38% (

-0.19)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.64% (

-0.48)

26.36% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49% (

-0.64)

61.51% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 52.31%

Melbourne Victory 25.84%

Draw 21.85%

Melbourne City	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 52.31%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.85%	1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.84%