Australian A-League | Gameweek 6

Dec 3, 2023 at 6am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
0 - 2
Melbourne City

Piscopo (68'), Piscopo (68')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mazzeo (12', 12'), MacLaren (58', 58')
Young (78'), Young (78')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 3-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 25 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Ventforet Kofu 3-3 Melbourne City
Wednesday, November 29 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne City
29.61% ( -0.71)	21.54% ( 0.1)	48.85% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 67.92% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.71% (

-0.95)

31.29% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.27% (

-1.13)

52.73% (

1.13)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.43% (

-0.88)

21.57% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.35% (

-1.37)

54.65% (

1.36)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.59% (

-0.15)

13.4% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.65% (

-0.31)

40.34% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 29.61%

Melbourne City 48.85%

Draw 21.54%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.61%	1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.54%	1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.06) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) 2-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.13% Total : 48.85%