Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 29, 2023 8.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
  • Adam le Fondre 29' goal
  • Patrick Wood 63' goal

Sydney FC vs Newcastle Jets - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 24, 2023 10.00am
Brisbane Roar 0 - 2 Sydney FC
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Adam le Fondre

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 22, 2023 8.00am
Newcastle Jets 1 - 3 Central Coast
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Beka Mikeltadze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.13% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sydney FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sydney FC.

Result

Sydney FC 57.86% (+0.25)
Draw 21.02% (-0.14)
Newcastle Jets 21.13% (-0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.27% (+0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.73% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 37.27% (-0.47)
Over 3.5 40.53% (+0.51)
Under 3.5 59.48% (-0.51)
Over 4.5 22.56% (+0.41)
Under 4.5 77.44% (-0.41)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5 87.28% (+0.23)
Under 0.5 12.72% (-0.23)
Over 1.5 61.06% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 38.94% (-0.46)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 69.05% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 30.95% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 32.75% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 67.25% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Sydney FC 57.86%
Draw 21.02%
Newcastle Jets 21.13%
Sydney FC
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.37% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 6.75% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.75% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.96% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.48% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 2.97% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.04% (+0.05)
5-1 @ 1.44% (+0.04)
5-0 @ 1.22% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 57.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.10)
2-2 @ 5.76% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.94% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.55% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.02%
Newcastle Jets
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.62% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.25% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 21.13%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Jan 1, 2023 4.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • goal Adam le Fondre 37'
  • goal Robert Mak 41'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Mar 25, 2022 8.45am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Mario Arques Blasco 35' yellowcard
  • Lucas Mauragis 40' yellowcard
  • Archie Goodwin 41' goal
  • Archie Goodwin 43' goal
  • Jordan Elsey 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Wilkinson 37'
  • yellowcard Paulo Retre 60'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Dec 4, 2021 8.45am
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Adam le Fondre 9' goal
  • Elvis Kamsoba 30' goal
  • Paulo Retre 39' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Warland 65' yellowcard
  • Rhyan Grant 71' yellowcard
  • Patrick Wood 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Duncan 8'
  • goal Valentino Yuel 58'
  • goal Valentino Yuel 65'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
May 8, 2021 8.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan O'Doherty 46' yellowcard
  • Roy O'Donovan 59' goal
  • Lachlan Jackson 70' yellowcard
  • goal Nigel Boogaard 76' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alexander Baumjohann 77'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Mar 14, 2021 7.40am
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Mar 13, 2021 6.05am
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Netstrata Jubilee Stadium
  • Paulo Retre 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Milos Ninkovic 64' goal
  • Alex Wilkinson 80' goal
  • goal Luka Prso 21'
  • yellowcard Nikolai Topor-Stanley 50'