Australian A-League | Gameweek 26

Apr 29, 2023 at 8am UK

Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Sydney FC
2 - 0
Newcastle Jets

le Fondre (29'), Wood (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Sydney FC and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sydney FC

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Sydney FC
Monday, April 24 at 10am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Central Coast
Saturday, April 22 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.13% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.37%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sydney FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sydney FC.

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Newcastle Jets
57.86% ( 0.24)	21.02% ( -0.13)	21.13% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 60.27% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.73% (

0.47)

37.27% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.53% (

0.51)

59.48% (

-0.5)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.28% (

0.22)

12.72% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.06% (

0.46)

38.94% (

-0.46)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05% (

0.17)

30.95% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.75% (

0.2)

67.25% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 57.86%

Newcastle Jets 21.13%

Draw 21.02%

Sydney FC	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.95% Total : 57.86%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.02%	1-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 21.13%