Adelaide United
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Newcastle Jets
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Sydney FC
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Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 22, 2023 at 8am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Central Coast Mariners

Newcastle Jets
1 - 3
Central Coast

Sotirio (9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Silvera (28', 58'), Tulio (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-1 Macarthur
Friday, April 14 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawCentral Coast Mariners
37.19% (1.225 1.23)22.64% (0.076999999999998 0.08)40.16% (-1.308 -1.31)
Both teams to score 66.72% (-0.11699999999999 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.95% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)34.04% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.08% (-0.255 -0.25)55.91% (0.248 0.25)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03% (0.474 0.47)18.96% (-0.479 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.5% (0.786 0.79)50.49% (-0.792 -0.79)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.34% (-0.63500000000001 -0.64)17.66% (0.629 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.72% (-1.108 -1.11)48.28% (1.102 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 37.2%
    Central Coast Mariners 40.16%
    Draw 22.64%
Newcastle JetsDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.166 0.17)
1-0 @ 5.57% (0.145 0.15)
2-0 @ 4.63% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.157 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.141 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.092 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.048 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.074 0.07)
4-3 @ 0.93% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.2%
1-1 @ 9.65% (0.055 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.96% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.35% (0.038 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 8.37% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.81% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.154 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.175 -0.18)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.91% (-0.151 -0.15)
1-4 @ 2.1% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-4 @ 1.74% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-4 @ 0.97% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 40.16%

How you voted: Newcastle Jets vs Central Coast

Newcastle Jets
0.0%
Draw
20.0%
Central Coast Mariners
80.0%
10
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2022 8am
gameweek 1
Central Coast
3-0
Newcastle Jets
Tulio (22'), Cummings (63'), N'Kololo (87' pen.)
Kaltack (24')
Dec 11, 2022 4am
gameweek 7
Central Coast
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Cummings (53')
Buhagiar (12'), Mikeltadze (66')
Stynes (17')
May 7, 2022 10.45am
gameweek 10
Central Coast
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Cummings (30'), N'Kololo (62')
Balard (49'), Urena (66')

Regan (8')
Apr 23, 2022 10.45am
gameweek 25
Newcastle Jets
2-4
Central Coast
Mauragis (46'), Farrell (50' og.)
Jurman (22'), Elsey (55'), Penha (90+4')
Penha (90+6')
Moresche (19'), Cummings (30', 34'), Kuol (90+1')
Miller (69'), Birighitti (90+1')
Nov 21, 2021 5.05am
gameweek 1
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Central Coast
Yuel (78')
Penha (32')
Nisbet (50'), Farrell (57')
N'Kololo (21'), Farrell (49'), Birighitti (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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