Australian A-League | Gameweek 24

Apr 15, 2023 at 8am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
1 - 1
Melbourne City

Nisbet (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bos (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-3 Central Coast
Friday, April 7 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 4-1 Wellington
Monday, April 10 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.86%) and 0-1 (5.73%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
30.62% ( 1.77)	21.66% ( 0.26)	47.72% ( -2.03)

Both teams to score 68.15% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.74% (

-0.17)

31.26% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.31% (

-0.2)

52.69% (

0.21)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.02% (

0.93)

20.98% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.26% (

1.43)

53.74% (

-1.43)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.24% (

-0.71)

13.76% (

0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.95% (

-1.42)

41.05% (

1.43)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 30.62%

Melbourne City 47.72%

Draw 21.66%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.27) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 4-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.62%	1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.66%	1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.19) 3-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.98% Total : 47.72%