Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.72%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.86%) and 0-1 (5.73%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.