Australian A-League
Gameweek
23
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-
Jamie MacLaren
34'
-
Jamie MacLaren
52'
-
Marco Tilio
57'
-
Marco Tilio
83'
-
Steven Ugarkovic
49'
Melbourne City vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 68.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 13.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 3-1 (7.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Wellington Phoenix win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result
Melbourne City
68.99%
▲
(+0.85)
Draw
17.24%
▼
(-0.20)
Wellington Phoenix
13.77%
▼
(-0.65)
Both Teams to Score:
58.33%
▼
(-1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.44%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 2.5
32.56%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 3.5
45.78%
▼
(-0.72)
Under 3.5
54.22%
▲
(+0.73)
Over 4.5
26.97%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 4.5
73.03%
▲
(+0.63)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5
91.44%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
8.56%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
70.41%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
29.59%
▼
(-0.06)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5
63.79%
▼
(-1.29)
Under 0.5
36.21%
▲
(+1.29)
Over 1.5
27%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 1.5
73%
▲
(+1.33)
Score analysis
Melbourne City
68.99%
Draw
17.24%
Wellington Phoenix
13.77%
Melbourne City
2-1
@
9.51%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.28)
1-0 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.26)
4-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.09)
5-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.26%
Total : 68.99%
2-0 @ 9.36% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.28)
1-0 @ 7.62% ▲ (+0.26)
4-1 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 4.72% ▲ (+0.18)
3-2 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.14)
4-2 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.09)
5-1 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.09)
5-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 5.26%
Total : 68.99%
Draw
1-1
@
7.74%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.24%
2-2 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.24%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2
@
3.93%
▼
(-0.15)
0-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 13.77%
0-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 13.77%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
10
-
David Ball
16'
-
Mathew Leckie
18'
-
Jamie MacLaren
51'
-
Jamie MacLaren
90'+6'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
4
-
Jamie MacLaren
16'
-
Marco Tilio
34'
-
Sam Sutton
79'
-
Kosta Barbarouses
90'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
21
-
Sam Sutton
3'
-
Jamie MacLaren
10'
-
Andrew Nabbout
30'
-
Marco Tilio
54'
-
Jamie MacLaren
56'
-
Carl Jenkinson
83'
-
Ben Waine
54'
-
Reno Piscopo
81'
-
Ben Waine
90'+2'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
17
-
Nicholas Pennington
87'
-
David Ball
90'
-
Finn Surman
17'
(OG)
-
Mathew Leckie
50'
-
Andrew Nabbout
59'
-
Curtis Good
68'
-
Marco Tilio
76'
-
Marco Tilio
81'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
14
-
Naoki Tsubaki
58'
-
Jamie MacLaren
81'
-
Aiden O'Neill
90'
-
Tomer Hemed
37'
-
Clayton Lewis
79'
-
Clayton Lewis
80'
-
Tomer Hemed
88'
-
Tomer Hemed
89'
-
James McGarry
90'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
5
-
Tomer Hemed
39'
-
Ulises Davila
56'
-
Louis Fenton
58'
-
Joshua Laws
62'
-
Cameron Devlin
88'
-
Curtis Good
17'
-
Jamie MacLaren
45'
-
Florin Berenguer
55'
-
Marco Tilio
83'