Australian A-League | Gameweek 24

Apr 14, 2023 at 10.45am UK

McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle Jets
2 - 1
Macarthur

Jurman (79'), O'Neill (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arabuli (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Macarthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 8 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 2-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, April 8 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Newcastle Jets in this match.

Result
Newcastle Jets	Draw	Macarthur
52.44% ( -0.1)	21.94% ( 0.01)	25.62% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 62.82% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.51% (

0.04)

36.49% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.37% (

0.04)

58.63% (

-0.05)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.89% (

-0.02)

14.11% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.26% (

-0.04)

41.74% (

0.03)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14% (

0.09)

26.86% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.83% (

0.12)

62.17% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Newcastle Jets 52.44%

Macarthur 25.62%

Draw 21.94%

Newcastle Jets	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.63% Total : 52.44%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.94%	1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.62%