Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
25.36% ( -0.6) | 22.2% ( -0.21) | 52.43% ( 0.81) |
Both teams to score 61.58% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62% ( 0.46) | 38% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.73% ( 0.48) | 60.26% ( -0.48) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.14% ( -0.2) | 27.86% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.53% ( -0.26) | 63.46% ( 0.26) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% ( 0.43) | 14.64% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.23% ( 0.82) | 42.77% ( -0.82) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.65% Total : 25.36% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 2.96% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.05) 1-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.22% Total : 52.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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