Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 25.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 25.36% ( | 22.2% ( | 52.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.58% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62% ( | 38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.73% ( | 60.26% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.14% ( | 27.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% ( | 63.46% ( |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( | 14.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.23% ( | 42.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 6.4% ( 1-0 @ 5.21% ( 2-0 @ 3.33% ( 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.62% ( 3-0 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 3.65% Total : 25.36% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 3-3 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 1-3 @ 6.16% ( 0-3 @ 4.82% ( 2-3 @ 3.94% ( 1-4 @ 2.96% ( 0-4 @ 2.32% ( 2-4 @ 1.89% ( 1-5 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 4.22% Total : 52.43% |