Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Nov 12, 2023 at 4am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
3 - 3
Macarthur

MacLaren (58', 58', 90', 90'), Antonis (90+3' pen., 90+3' pen.)
Natel (15'), Natel (15'), Sakhi (71'), Sakhi (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Davila (61', 61'), Hollman (83', 83'), Millar (88', 88')
Nicolaou (64'), Borges Rodrigues (64'), Nicolaou (64'), Borges Rodrigues (64')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Melbourne City 0-1 Buriram Utd
Wednesday, November 8 at 9am in AFC Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.66%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.55%) and 1-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Macarthur
56.66% ( -0.29)	20.78% ( 0.11)	22.56% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 63.32% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.78% (

-0.29)

34.22% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.88% (

-0.33)

56.12% (

0.33)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.92% (

-0.17)

12.08% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.39% (

-0.37)

37.61% (

0.37)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.02% (

-0.02)

27.98% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.38% (

-0.02)

63.62% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 56.66%

Macarthur 22.56%

Draw 20.78%

Melbourne City	Draw	Macarthur
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 56.66%	1-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.78%	1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 22.56%