Macarthur vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.