Australian A-League | Gameweek 26

Apr 29, 2023 at 8am UK

Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)

Macarthur
0 - 1
Wellington

FT(HT: 0-1)

Zawada (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-1 Macarthur
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 4-0 Wellington
Friday, April 21 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.24%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Macarthur	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
39.83% ( -1.4)	23.06% ( -0.26)	37.12% ( 1.66)

Both teams to score 65.09% (

1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.84% (

1.54)

36.16% (

-1.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.73% (

1.66)

58.27% (

-1.66)

Macarthur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.3% (

0.04)

18.7% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.95% (

0.06)

50.05% (

-0.06)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06% (

1.51)

19.94% (

-1.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91% (

2.38)

52.09% (

-2.38)

Score Analysis

Macarthur 39.83%

Wellington Phoenix 37.12%

Draw 23.06%

Macarthur	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.48) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.62% Total : 39.83%	1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.21% Total : 37.12%