Australian A-League | Gameweek 24

Apr 16, 2023 at 4am UK

Westpac Stadium

Wellington
2 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Zawada (35' pen.), Sasse (56')

FT(HT: 1-1)

O'Shea (8' pen.), Neville (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 4-1 Wellington
Monday, April 10 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, April 8 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Brisbane Roar
39.92% ( 0.03)	24.68% ( -0.08)	35.4% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 58.75% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.69% (

0.38)

44.31% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.32% (

0.37)

66.68% (

-0.36)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84% (

0.18)

22.16% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.45% (

0.27)

55.55% (

-0.26)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.48% (

0.21)

24.52% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.01% (

0.29)

58.99% (

-0.29)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 39.92%

Brisbane Roar 35.4%

Draw 24.68%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.92%	1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68%	1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.4%