Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 16, 2023 4.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Oskar Zawada 35' goal
  • Yan Sasse 56' goal
  • goal Jay O'Shea 8'
  • goal Scott Neville 82'

Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 7.00am
Melbourne City 4 - 1 Wellington
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Oskar Zawada

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 8, 2023 8.00am
Brisbane Roar 3 - 0 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jay O'Shea

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 39.92% (+0.03)
Draw 24.68% (-0.08)
Brisbane Roar 35.4% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.75% (+0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.69% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 44.31% (-0.38)
Over 3.5 33.32% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 66.68% (-0.37)
Over 4.5 17.02% (+0.27)
Under 4.5 82.98% (-0.27)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 77.84% (+0.18)
Under 0.5 22.16% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 44.45% (+0.27)
Under 1.5 55.55% (-0.27)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 75.48% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 24.52% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 41.01% (+0.30)
Under 1.5 58.99% (-0.29)

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 39.92%
Draw 24.68%
Brisbane Roar 35.4%
Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.67% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.19% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.17% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.36% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.64% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.17% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 39.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.1% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 5.43% (-0.09)
3-3 @ 1.43% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.68%
Brisbane Roar
1-2 @ 8.09% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 7.64% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 5.37% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.79% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.86% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 2.52% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1% (-97.50)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.4%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Jan 14, 2023 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • goal Oskar Zawada 65'
Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Mar 30, 2022 9.05am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luke Ivanovic 17' yellowcard
  • Anton Mlinaric 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jay O'Shea 72' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Neville 28' (OG)
  • goal Ben Waine 48'
  • goal Ben Old 57'
Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Mar 12, 2022 6.05am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rahmat Akbari 7' goal
  • Juan Lescano 25' yellowcard
  • 26' yellowcard
  • Jesse Daley 57' yellowcard
  • Henry Hore 76' goal
  • yellowcard Tim Payne 31'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 36'
  • goal Gary Hooper 72'
  • yellowcard David Ball 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Feb 16, 2022 6.25am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Scott Wootton 33' goal
  • Gael Sandoval 63' goal
  • Reno Piscopo 67' goal
  • Oskar van Hattum 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Neville 77'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
May 1, 2021 8.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott Neville 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 11'
  • yellowcard Louis Fenton 46'
Australian A-League Gameweek 13
Mar 21, 2021 5.05am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tomer Hemed 42' goal
  • James McGarry 68' yellowcard
  • Tim Payne 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Macaulay Gillesphey 5'
  • yellowcard Corey Brown 10'
  • goal Gol-Gol Mebrahtu 86'
  • redcard Macaulay Gillesphey 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Tom Aldred 90'+3'