/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fviclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fmaclog.png)
-
Fernando Romero
3'
-
Lleyton Brooks
90'+4'
-
Tomislav Uskok
66'
Melbourne Victory vs Macarthur - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Melbourne Victory in this match.
Result
Melbourne Victory
53.76%
▲
(+0.35)
Draw
22.17%
▲
(+0.01)
Macarthur
24.07%
▼
(-0.35)
Both Teams to Score:
60.23%
▼
(-0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.87%
▼
(-0.39)
Under 2.5
39.13%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 3.5
38.54%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 3.5
61.45%
▲
(+0.41)
Over 4.5
20.98%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 4.5
79.02%
▲
(+0.33)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5
85.4%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
14.6%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
57.31%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
42.69%
▲
(+0.05)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5
70.53%
▼
(-0.50)
Under 0.5
29.47%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 1.5
34.52%
▼
(-0.61)
Under 1.5
65.48%
▲
(+0.61)
Score analysis
Melbourne Victory
53.76%
Draw
22.16%
Macarthur
24.07%
Melbourne Victory
2-1
@
9.73%
▲
(+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 53.76%
1-0 @ 8.28% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.14)
3-1 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 3% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 53.76%
Draw
1-1
@
10.11%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.16%
2-2 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.16%
Macarthur
1-2
@
6.18%
▼
(-0.07)
0-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 5.26% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 24.07%
