Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 15, 2023 10.45am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Spotless Stadium
  • Brandon Borrello 45'+1' goal
  • Amor Layouni 81' goal
  • goal Nishan Velupillay 56'

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 8, 2023 10.45am
Macarthur 2 - 2 Western Sydney
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Brandon Borrello

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 9, 2023 6.00am
Victory 0 - 0 Perth Glory
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Bruno Fornaroli

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Western Sydney Wanderers in this match.

Result

Western Sydney Wanderers 41.33% (-0.02)
Draw 24.21% (+0.11)
Melbourne Victory 34.46% (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.26% (-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.74% (-0.52)
Under 2.5 42.26% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 35.34% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 64.66% (+0.52)
Over 4.5 18.52% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 81.48% (+0.40)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 79.39% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 20.61% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 46.84% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 53.15% (+0.36)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5 75.9% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 24.1% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 41.61% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 58.39% (+0.42)

Score analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 41.33%
Draw 24.21%
Melbourne Victory 34.46%
Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.82% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.84% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 6.19% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 41.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.16% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 6.27% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.97% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.21%
Melbourne Victory
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.07% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 5.03% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.46%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Oct 15, 2022 9.45am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT AAMI Park
  • goal Tomislav Mrcela 41'
Australian A-League Gameweek 20
Mar 27, 2022 9.05am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Brendan Hamill 68' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 88' redcard
  • Jason Davidson 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Steven Ugarkovic 79'
  • goal Steven Ugarkovic 90'+6'
Australian A-League Gameweek 10
Feb 16, 2022 8.55am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tate Russell 55' goal
  • Dimitri Petratos 80' goal
  • Phillip Cancar 89' yellowcard
  • Daniel Margush 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Kelava 80'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Apr 23, 2021 10.05am
5
4
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Ben Folami 14' goal
  • Storm Roux 28' goal
  • Ben Folami 45'+3' goal
  • Callum McManaman 55' yellowcard
  • Rudy Gestede 56' yellowcard
  • Dylan Ryan 63' goal
  • Jacob Butterfield 73' goal
  • Robbie Kruse 76' yellowcard
  • Matt Acton 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal James Troisi 31'
  • yellowcard Dylan McGowan 45'+2'
  • goal Graham Dorrans 76'
  • goal Mitchell Duke 86'
  • goal Nicolai Muller 88'
  • yellowcard Patrick Ziegler 90'
Australian A-League Gameweek 6
Feb 10, 2021 8.05am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Graham Dorrans 22' yellowcard
  • Graham Dorrans 72' goal
  • Kwame Yeboah 88' goal
  • yellowcard Rudy Gestede 68'
  • yellowcard Birkan Kirdar 77'
Australian A-League Gameweek 27
Aug 12, 2020 11.10am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matthew Jurman 20' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Cordier 22' yellowcard
  • Pirmin Schwegler 30' yellowcard
  • Pirmin Schwegler 34' goal
  • Jordan O'Doherty 62' goal
  • yellowcard Luis Lawrie-Lattanzio 32'
  • yellowcard Aaron Anderson 49'
  • goal Andrew Nabbout 66'