Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 21, 2023 10.45am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Spotless Stadium
  • Brandon Borrello 9' goal
  • Calem Nieuwenhof 31' goal
  • Aidan Simmons 65' goal
  • Kusini Yengi 87' goal

Western Sydney Wanderers vs Wellington Phoenix - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 10.45am
Western Sydney 2 - 1 Victory
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Brandon Borrello

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 4.00am
Wellington 2 - 2 Brisbane Roar
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Oskar Zawada

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Western Sydney Wanderers 52.84% (-0.19)
Draw 22% (+0.04)
Wellington Phoenix 25.16% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.08% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.76% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 37.24% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40.55% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 59.45% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 22.58% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 77.42% (-0.01)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 85.76% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 14.24% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 58% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 42% (+0.11)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 72.39% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 27.61% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 36.86% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 63.14% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 52.84%
Draw 22%
Wellington Phoenix 25.16%
Western Sydney Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.47% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.24% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 4.02% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 52.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.19% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.93% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.72% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22%
Wellington Phoenix
1-2 @ 6.35% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 5.06% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.26% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.72% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.65% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 25.16%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 7
Dec 10, 2022 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Bozhidar Kraev 61' goal
  • goal Yeni Ngbakoto 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
May 5, 2022 10.05am
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Keanu Baccus 24' yellowcard
  • Tomer Hemed 29' goal
  • James Troisi 42' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Sutton 3'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Pennington 11'
  • goal Reno Piscopo 65'
  • yellowcard Oliver Sail 89'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Apr 24, 2022 4.05am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ben Waine 22' goal
  • Nicholas Pennington 38' yellowcard
  • Jaushua Sotirio 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keanu Baccus 13'
  • yellowcard Ramy Najjarine 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Tomer Hemed 77'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Dec 3, 2021 8.45am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Gary Hooper 68' yellowcard
  • Alex Rufer 77' yellowcard
  • David Ball 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thomas Aquilina 17'
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 64'
  • goal Tomer Hemed 66'
  • goal John Koutroumbis 90'+3'
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
May 26, 2021 10.05am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Keanu Baccus 28' goal
  • Graham Dorrans 50' yellowcard
  • Ziggy Gordon 63' yellowcard
  • goal David Ball 24'
  • yellowcard Louis Fenton 33'
  • yellowcard Sam Sutton 36'
  • goal Tomer Hemed 42'
  • yellowcard David Ball 44'
  • yellowcard Clayton Lewis 90'+5'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Mar 15, 2021 8.05am
4
3
HT : 1 2
FT Bankwest Stadium (Sydney)
  • James Troisi 17' yellowcard
  • Daniel Wilmering 23' goal
  • Jordon Mutch 52' goal
  • Ziggy Gordon 59' yellowcard
  • Dylan McGowan 63' yellowcard
  • Mitchell Duke 65' goal
  • Kwame Yeboah 84' goal
  • goal Ulises Davila 7'
  • goal Cameron Devlin 32'
  • goal Tomer Hemed 64'
  • yellowcard Ufuk Talay 68'
  • yellowcard Reno Piscopo 73'
  • yellowcard Clayton Lewis 77'
  • yellowcard Ulises Davila 87'