Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 52.84%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
52.84% ( -0.18) | 22% ( 0.03) | 25.16% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 62.08% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.76% ( 0.01) | 37.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.55% ( 0.01) | 59.45% ( -0.01) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.76% ( -0.05) | 14.24% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58% ( -0.11) | 42% ( 0.11) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.39% ( 0.12) | 27.61% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.86% ( 0.15) | 63.14% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.84% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.72% Total : 25.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 52 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 38 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
7 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 36 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 22 |
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