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Australian A-League | Gameweek 1
Oct 21, 2023 at 7.30am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Western United

Melbourne City
1 - 2
Western Utd

Arslan (62')
Sakhi (73'), Talbot (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wales (60'), Botic (87' pen.)
Risdon (5'), Penha (53')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Zhejiang 1-2 Melbourne City
Wednesday, October 4 at 1pm in AFC Champions League

Western United

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-2 Western Utd
Saturday, April 29 at 1pm in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 53.5%. A win for Western United had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.97%) and 1-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
53.5% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)21.31% (-0.084 -0.08)25.19% (0.075999999999997 0.08)
Both teams to score 64.67% (0.39699999999999 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.14% (0.48699999999999 0.49)33.86% (-0.488 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.29% (0.55 0.55)55.71% (-0.552 -0.55)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.12% (0.16200000000001 0.16)12.88% (-0.165 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.72% (0.33799999999999 0.34)39.27% (-0.34 -0.34)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.31700000000001 0.32)25.77% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (0.43 0.43)60.71% (-0.432 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 53.5%
    Western United 25.19%
    Draw 21.31%
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-0 @ 6.8% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-1 @ 6.46% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.76% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.38% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.44%
4-2 @ 2.24% (0.041 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.02 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.01% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1% (0.006 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 53.5%
1-1 @ 9.22% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.32% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.98% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 4.5% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.042 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 25.19%

Head to Head
Apr 22, 2023 10.45am
Gameweek 25
Western Utd
1-3
Melbourne City
Pierias (38')
MacLaren (13', 66', 74')
> Preview
Jan 7, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 11
Melbourne City
4-0
Western Utd
Tilio (9'), Lacroix (12' og.), MacLaren (25'), Nabbout (84')
> Preview
Oct 7, 2022 9.45am
Gameweek 1
Melbourne City
2-1
Western Utd
Lacroix (38' og.), MacLaren (59')
Milanovic (90+2')
May 28, 2022 10.45am
Melbourne City
0-2
Western Utd
Reis (2' og.), Prijovic (30')
Wenzel-Halls (65'), Wales (84')
> Preview
Mar 12, 2022 6.05am
Gameweek 19
Western Utd
2-2
Melbourne City
Imai (35'), Prijovic (42'), Lacroix (76')