Australian A-League Gameweek 25
Western Utd
Apr 22, 2023 10.45am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Whitten Oval
Melbourne City
  • Dylan Pierias 38' goal
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 13'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 66'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 74'

Western United vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 16, 2023 8.00am
Adelaide United 0 - 1 Western Utd
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Noah Botic

Melbourne City

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 15, 2023 8.00am
Central Coast 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Jamie MacLaren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Western United win it was 2-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Melbourne City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Melbourne City.

Result

Western United 17.52% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 18.41% ▲ (+0.09)
Melbourne City 64.07% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

63.41% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.67% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 30.32% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 3.5 48.42% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 3.5 51.57% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 4.5 29.3% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 4.5 70.69% ▲ (+0.28)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 69.71% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 30.28% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 33.54% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 66.45% ▲ (+0.07)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 90.95% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 0.5 9.05% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 1.5 69.21% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 1.5 30.78% ▲ (+0.27)

Score analysis

Western United 17.52%
Draw 18.41%
Melbourne City 64.07%
Western United
2-1 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 17.52%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.74% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 18.41%
Melbourne City
1-2 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 7.91% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.58% ▲ (+0.07)
0-3 @ 6.33% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 4.55% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 4.52% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 3.81% ▼ (-0.03)
2-4 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.03)
1-5 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.03)
0-5 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.03)
2-5 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.02)
3-4 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 64.07%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 11
Melbourne City
Jan 7, 2023 8.45am
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT AAMI Park
Western Utd
  • Marco Tilio 9' goal
  • Leo Lacroix 12' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 25' goal
  • Andrew Nabbout 84' goal
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Melbourne City
Oct 7, 2022 9.45am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT AAMI Park
Western Utd
  • Leo Lacroix 38' goal
  • Jamie MacLaren 59' goal
  • goal Nicolas Milanovic 90'+2'
Australian A-League
Melbourne City
May 28, 2022 10.45am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT AAMI Park
Western Utd
  • goal Nuno Reis 2' (OG)
  • goal Aleksandar Prijovic 30'
  • yellowcard Dylan Wenzel-Halls 65'
  • yellowcard Lachlan Wales 84'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Western Utd
Mar 12, 2022 6.05am
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
Melbourne City
  • Leo Lacroix 16' goal
  • Rene Krhin 30' goal
  • Tomoki Imai 35' yellowcard
  • Aleksandar Prijovic 42' yellowcard
  • Leo Lacroix 76' yellowcard
  • goal Connor Metcalfe 42'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 65'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Western Utd
Jan 29, 2022 8.45am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Melbourne City
  • Lachlan Wales 32' yellowcard
  • Nikolai Topor-Stanley 33' yellowcard
  • Steven Lustica 71' goal
  • yellowcard Aiden O'Neill 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Nuno Reis 65'
Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Melbourne City
Dec 4, 2021 8.45am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Western Utd
  • Andrew Nabbout 63' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Atkinson 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Wenzel-Halls 20'
  • yellowcard Dylan Wenzel-Halls 53'

Form Data

Adelaide United 0 - 1 Western Utd
Western Utd 0 - 3 Central Coast
Sydney FC 3 - 3 Western Utd
Brisbane Roar 1 - 0 Western Utd
Victory 1 - 2 Western Utd
Western Utd 2 - 1 Perth Glory
Central Coast 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Melbourne City 4 - 1 Wellington
Melbourne City 2 - 1 Victory
Melbourne City 1 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Macarthur 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Melbourne City 2 - 1 Brisbane Roar