Australian A-League | Gameweek 25

Apr 22, 2023 at 10.45am UK

Whitten Oval

Western Utd
1 - 3
Melbourne City

Pierias (38')

FT(HT: 1-1)

MacLaren (13', 66', 74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 0-1 Western Utd
Sunday, April 16 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, April 15 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Western United had a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Western United win it was 2-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Melbourne City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Melbourne City.

Result
Western United	Draw	Melbourne City
17.52% ( 0.1)	18.41% ( 0.09)	64.07% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 63.41% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.67% (

-0.26)

30.32% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.42% (

-0.31)

51.57% (

0.31)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.71% (

-0.07)

30.28% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.54% (

-0.08)

66.45% (

0.06)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.95% (

-0.12)

9.05% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.21% (

-0.28)

30.78% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Western United 17.52%

Melbourne City 64.07%

Draw 18.41%

Western United	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 17.52%	1-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 18.41%	1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 7.57% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 2.18% ( -0.03) 0-5 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.25% Total : 64.07%