Australian A-League

Jun 3, 2023 at 10.45am UK

AAMI Park

Melbourne City
1 - 6
Central Coast

van der Venne (40')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Cummings (20', 65' pen., 73' pen.), Silvera (34'), N'Kololo (83'), Moresche (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

Jason Cummings scores a hat-trick as the Central Coast Mariners thrash premiers Melbourne City 6-1 in the A-League Grand Final to win their second top-flight crown.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 4-0 Sydney FC
Friday, May 19 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, May 20 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 55.49%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.23%) and 1-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne City	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
55.49% ( 0.06)	20.9% ( -0.13)	23.61% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 64.3% (

0.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.46% (

0.68)

33.54% (

-0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.66% (

0.77)

55.34% (

-0.77)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.81% (

0.24)

12.19% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.16% (

0.51)

37.84% (

-0.51)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

0.42)

26.77% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

0.56)

62.04% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Melbourne City 55.49%

Central Coast Mariners 23.61%

Draw 20.9%

Melbourne City	Draw	Central Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 55.49%	1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.38% Total : 20.9%	1-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.98% Total : 23.61%