Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.09%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 50.09% ( | 21.73% ( | 28.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.72% ( | 33.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.95% ( | 55.04% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.27% ( | 13.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.01% ( | 40.99% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( | 23.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.54% ( | 57.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 3-2 @ 4.42% ( 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 4-1 @ 3.03% ( 4-2 @ 2.19% ( 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 4-3 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 3.87% Total : 50.09% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 2-2 @ 6.68% ( 0-0 @ 3.22% ( 3-3 @ 2.14% ( Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.73% | 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0-1 @ 4.67% ( 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 2-4 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.17% |