Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 28, 2023 at 10.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
Central Coast Mariners

Adelaide United
1 - 4
Central Coast

Kitto (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tulio (23', 57'), N'Kololo (41'), Steele (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Central Coast Mariners, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Perth Glory 4-4 Adelaide United
Sunday, April 23 at 9am in Australian A-League

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-3 Central Coast
Saturday, April 22 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 38.67% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.99%) and 3-1 (4.82%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawCentral Coast Mariners
39.35% (0.391 0.39)21.98% (0.045999999999999 0.05)38.67% (-0.438 -0.44)
Both teams to score 69.48% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.49% (-0.255 -0.25)30.51% (0.253 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.19% (-0.304 -0.3)51.8% (0.303 0.3)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.49% (0.049999999999997 0.05)16.5% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.77% (0.092999999999996 0.09)46.23% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.29100000000001 -0.29)16.78% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.26% (-0.52 -0.52)46.73% (0.519 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 39.35%
    Central Coast Mariners 38.67%
    Draw 21.98%
Adelaide UnitedDrawCentral Coast Mariners
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 4.99% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.82% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.49% (0.079 0.08)
3-2 @ 4.3%
3-0 @ 2.7% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.17% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.025 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 39.35%
1-1 @ 8.9% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 7.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.77% (0.039 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.56% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.98%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.11% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.9% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.14% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 38.67%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Central Coast

Adelaide United
65.4%
Draw
15.4%
Central Coast Mariners
19.2%
26
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 6am
gameweek 11
Central Coast
4-0
Adelaide United
Popovic (31' og.), N'Kololo (48'), Madanha (55' og.), Farrell (58')

Clough (49'), Juande (54')
Sanchez (46')
May 15, 2022 7.05am
Adelaide United
3-1
Central Coast
Goodwin (26'), Yengi (67'), Oliveira (90+2')
Sanchez (19'), Goodwin (64')
Roux (71')
Farrell (34'), Steele (44')
Mar 26, 2022 8.45am
gameweek 20
Central Coast
3-0
Adelaide United
Urena (77'), Cummings (90+1'), Hatch (90+3')
Moresche (85')
Moresche (90+5')

Juande (73'), Lopez (89')
Gauci (27')
Feb 26, 2022 8.45am
gameweek 16
Adelaide United
2-1
Central Coast
Ibusuki (52'), Irankunda (90+2')
Tratt (67'), Kitto (86')
N'Kololo (35')
Rowles (48'), Farrell (65'), Balard (89')
Apr 1, 2021 9.40am
gameweek 15
Central Coast
2-1
Adelaide United
Bozanic (72'), Kuol (76')
Yengi (48')
Cavallo (78')
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!