Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.63%) and 2-0 (4.98%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.