Australian A-League

May 5, 2023 at 10.45am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
2 - 0
Wellington

Goodwin (19', 67' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Wellington Phoenix, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-4 Central Coast
Friday, April 28 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, April 29 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 53.3%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
53.3%	22.09%	24.6%

Both teams to score 61.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.76%

38.24%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.48%

60.51%

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.56%

14.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.62%

42.38%

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.43%

28.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.64%

64.36%

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 53.3%

Wellington Phoenix 24.6%

Draw 22.09%

Adelaide United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 7.98% 2-0 @ 7.72% 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 3.02% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.17% 5-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.35% Total : 53.3%	1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 4.12% 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.09%	1-2 @ 6.27% 0-1 @ 5.17% 0-2 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.43% Total : 24.6%