AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 25, 2023 at 11am UK
Chang Arena
Buriram Utd0 - 2Melbourne City
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Buriram United and Melbourne City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ventforet Kofu 1-0 Buriram Utd
Wednesday, October 4 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Wednesday, October 4 at 11am in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Melbourne City 1-2 Western Utd
Saturday, October 21 at 7.30am in Australian A-League
Saturday, October 21 at 7.30am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Buriram United had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Buriram United win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Buriram United | Draw | Melbourne City |
30.87% ( 0.55) | 22.55% ( -0.02) | 46.58% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 64.9% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.43% ( 0.42) | 35.56% ( -0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.38% ( 0.46) | 57.62% ( -0.45) |
Buriram United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.04% ( 0.53) | 22.95% ( -0.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.26% ( 0.77) | 56.74% ( -0.77) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.23% ( -0.03) | 15.77% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.11% ( -0.06) | 44.89% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Buriram United 30.87%
Melbourne City 46.58%
Draw 22.55%
Buriram United | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.87% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 5.6% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 46.58% |
How you voted: Buriram Utd vs Melbourne City
Buriram United
62.5%Draw
12.5%Melbourne City
25.0%8
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-04 13:40:11
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 54 | 13 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | Chelsea | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 59 | 6 | 51 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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