AFC Champions League
Oct 25, 2023 11.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Chang Arena
  • Sasalak Haiprakon 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Reis 15'
  • goal Alessandro Lopane 22'
  • goal Jamie MacLaren 41'
  • yellowcard Alessandro Lopane 51'
  • yellowcard Marin Jakolis 82'

Buriram United vs Melbourne City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Buriram United

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Oct 4, 2023 11.00am
Ventforet Kofu 1 - 0 Buriram Utd

Melbourne City

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Oct 4, 2023 1.00pm
Zhejiang 1 - 2 Melbourne City

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Buriram United had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.69%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Buriram United win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result

Buriram United 30.87% (+0.55)
Draw 22.55% (-0.03)
Melbourne City 46.58% (-0.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.9% (+0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.43% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 35.56% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 42.38% (+0.46)
Under 3.5 57.62% (-0.46)
Over 4.5 24.08% (+0.38)
Under 4.5 75.91% (-0.38)

Buriram United Goals

Over 0.5 77.04% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 22.95% (-0.53)
Over 1.5 43.26% (+0.78)
Under 1.5 56.74% (-0.77)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 84.23% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 15.77% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 55.11% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 44.89% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Buriram United 30.87%
Draw 22.55%
Melbourne City 46.58%
Buriram United
2-1 @ 7.24% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 5.33% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.92% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.55% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 3.28% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 1.92% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.31% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.84% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 6.69% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 3.62% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 2.02% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.55%
Melbourne City
1-2 @ 9.09% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 6.69% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 6.18% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 5.6% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.12% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.10)
1-4 @ 2.58% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.9% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.87%
Total : 46.58%