Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.89%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 27.39% ( | 21.72% ( | 50.89% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.17% ( | 33.83% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.32% ( | 55.67% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( | 24.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.41% ( | 58.58% ( |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.33% ( | 13.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.13% ( | 40.87% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne City |
| 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 1-0 @ 4.7% ( 2-0 @ 3.33% ( 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.39% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 3-3 @ 2.07% ( Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 1-3 @ 6.17% ( 2-3 @ 4.37% ( 0-3 @ 4.35% ( 1-4 @ 3.07% ( 2-4 @ 2.18% ( 0-4 @ 2.17% ( 1-5 @ 1.22% ( 3-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.89% |