Nov 3, 2023 8.45am

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium

Callum Talbot 30'
Steven Ugarkovic 45'
Jamie MacLaren 46'
Curtis Good 56'

Joel King 26'
Patrick Wood 38'

Melbourne City vs Sydney FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne City

All competitions

L
W
L
W
D
L

Australian A-League

L
L
L
W
D
W

Last game

Oct 29, 2023 8.00am

Adelaide United 6 - 0 Melbourne City

Goals scored

51

Top scorer

Tolgay Arslan

Sydney FC

All competitions

L
L
L
D
W
W

Australian A-League

L
L
L
D
W
W

Last game

Oct 27, 2023 9.45am

Brisbane Roar 3 - 0 Sydney FC

Goals scored

57

Top scorer

Joe Lolley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.3%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result

Melbourne City 52.3% ▲ (+0.69)

Draw 21.8% ▲ (+0.05)

Sydney FC 25.9% ▼ (-0.73)

Both Teams to Score:

63.65% ▼ (-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.47% ▼ (-0.89)

Under 2.5 35.53% ▲ (+0.90)

Over 3.5 42.42% ▼ (-0.99)

Under 3.5 57.58% ▲ (+1.00)

Over 4.5 24.12% ▼ (-0.83)

Under 4.5 75.88% ▲ (+0.84)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5 86.18% ▼ (-0.10)

Under 0.5 13.82% ▲ (+0.10)

Over 1.5 58.83% ▼ (-0.19)

Under 1.5 41.17% ▲ (+0.19)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5 73.85% ▼ (-0.98)

Under 0.5 26.14% ▲ (+0.98)

Over 1.5 38.78% ▼ (-1.34)

Under 1.5 61.22% ▲ (+1.34)

Score analysis

Melbourne City 52.3%

Draw 21.8%

Sydney FC 25.9%

Melbourne City

2-1 @ 9.49% ▲ (+0.10)

1-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.30)

2-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.27)

3-1 @ 6.26% ▲ (+0.05)

3-0 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.16)

3-2 @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.10)

4-1 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.02)

4-0 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.08)

4-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.06)

5-1 @ 1.23%

Other @ 4.74%

Total : 52.3%

Draw

1-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.13)

2-2 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.12)

0-0 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.16)

3-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.10)

Other @ 0.35%

Total : 21.8%

Sydney FC

1-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.10)

0-1 @ 4.85% ▲ (+0.09)

0-2 @ 3.25% ▼ (-0.04)

1-3 @ 2.88% ▼ (-0.13)

2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.14)

0-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.06)

Other @ 4.19%

Total : 25.9%

Head to Head

May 19, 2023 10.45am

4

0

HT : 1 0

FT AAMI Park

Curtis Good 37'
Jack Rodwell 59'
Marco Tilio 67'
Richard van der Venne 82'

May 12, 2023 10.45am

1

1

HT : 0 1

FT

Adam le Fondre 64'

Mathew Leckie 18'

Feb 25, 2023 6.00am

3

2

HT : 3 1

FT AAMI Park

Jamie MacLaren 5'
Marco Tilio 13'
Jamie MacLaren 30'

Robert Mak 28'
Diego Caballo 90'+6'

Dec 10, 2022 8.45am

2

1

HT : 1 1

FT Netstrata Jubilee Stadium

Joe Lolley 23'
Adam le Fondre 61'

Jamie MacLaren 22'

Apr 6, 2022 10.05am

4

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Jordan Bos 26'
Mathew Leckie 55'
Jamie MacLaren 70'
Mathew Leckie 72'

Adam le Fondre 32'
Patrick Yazbek 35'
Callum Talbot 90'+1'

Feb 26, 2022 8.45am

1

2

HT : 0 1

FT

Rhyan Grant 41'
Milos Ninkovic 53'
Connor O'Toole 66'
Kosta Barbarouses 90'+2'

Paulo Retre 32' (OG)
Florin Berenguer 72'
Jamie MacLaren 74'
Mathew Leckie 90'+1'

Form Data

Adelaide United 6 - 0 Melbourne City

Buriram Utd 0 - 2 Melbourne City

Melbourne City 1 - 2 Western Utd

Zhejiang 1 - 2 Melbourne City

Melbourne City 0 - 0 Ventforet Kofu

Melbourne City 1 - 6 Central Coast

Brisbane Roar 3 - 0 Sydney FC

Sydney FC 0 - 2 Victory

Melbourne City 4 - 0 Sydney FC

Sydney FC 1 - 1 Melbourne City

Western Sydney 1 - 2 Sydney FC

Sydney FC 2 - 0 Newcastle Jets