Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.08%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
| 37.53% ( | 22.85% ( | 39.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 65.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.95% ( | 35.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.96% ( | 57.04% ( |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% ( | 19.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.03% ( | 50.97% ( |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.69% ( | 18.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.6% ( | 49.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Macarthur | Draw | Western United |
| 2-1 @ 8.12% 1-0 @ 5.81% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 4.46% ( 3-2 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 2.63% 4-1 @ 1.84% 4-2 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.46% Total : 37.53% | 1-1 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 6.9% ( 0-0 @ 3.53% 3-3 @ 2.14% ( Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.85% | 1-2 @ 8.37% 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 1-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 3.9% 0-3 @ 2.88% 1-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 1.66% 0-4 @ 1.22% 3-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.88% Total : 39.63% |