AFC Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 29, 2023 at 10am UK

Yamanashi Chuo Bank Stadium

Ventforet Kofu
3 - 3
Melbourne City

Inoue (8'), Torikai (43'), Miyazaki (85')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Talbot (5'), Arslan (59' pen.), Jakolis (64')
Arslan (28'), Jakolis (52')

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Ventforet Kofu and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ventforet Kofu

Last Game: Ventforet Kofu 4-1 Zhejiang
Wednesday, November 8 at 10am in AFC Champions League

Melbourne City

All competitions

AFC Champions League

Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.56%. A win for Ventforet Kofu had a probability of 23.43% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Ventforet Kofu win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Ventforet Kofu	Draw	Melbourne City
23.43% ( 0.4)	22% ( 0.07)	54.56% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 60.01% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.93% (

0.13)

39.06% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.61% (

0.13)

61.39% (

-0.13)

Ventforet Kofu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.04% (

0.4)

29.96% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.93% (

0.48)

66.07% (

-0.48)

Melbourne City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.68% (

-0.11)

14.32% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.85% (

-0.21)

42.14% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Ventforet Kofu 23.43%

Melbourne City 54.56%

Draw 21.99%

Ventforet Kofu	Draw	Melbourne City
2-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 23.43%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.99%	1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.25% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 54.56%