Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Nov 25, 2023 at 6.30am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
3 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Roux (45+2', 45+2'), Wilson (57', 57'), Reec (90+3', 90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Goodwin (76', 76')
Mauragis (62'), Mauragis (62')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, November 12 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 11 at 4.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 56.88%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.44%) and 1-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Newcastle Jets
56.88% ( 0.28)	20.62% ( -0.05)	22.51% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 63.85% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.5% (

-0.04)

33.5% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.7% (

-0.05)

55.3% (

0.05)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.21% (

0.07)

11.79% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63% (

0.14)

37% (

-0.13)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.38% (

-0.21)

27.62% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.84% (

-0.27)

63.16% (

0.27)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 56.88%

Newcastle Jets 22.51%

Draw 20.62%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 2.35% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.88%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.36% Total : 20.62%	1-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.59% Total : 22.51%