Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Nov 12, 2023 at 6am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
1 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Kuol (31', 31')
Theoharous (40'), Theoharous (40')

FT(HT: 2-4)

Berenguer (19', 19'), Waddingham (41', 41')
Aldred (23'), Aldred (23'), Caletti (45+4'), Caletti (45+4'), Burke-Gilroy (54'), Burke-Gilroy (54'), Neville (86'), Neville (86')
Caletti (57'), Caletti (57')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-0 Central Coast
Saturday, November 4 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 5-2 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 4 at 4.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Brisbane Roar
48.22% ( -1.35)	21.35% ( 0.22)	30.42% ( 1.13)

Both teams to score 69.21% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.16% (

-0.4)

29.83% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.01% (

-0.48)

50.99% (

0.48)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.92% (

-0.56)

13.07% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.32% (

-1.15)

39.68% (

1.15)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.61% (

0.43)

20.38% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.2% (

0.68)

52.8% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 48.22%

Brisbane Roar 30.42%

Draw 21.35%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.12) 4-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.27% Total : 48.22%	1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.98% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 21.35%	1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.08) 3-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 30.42%