Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.