Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.5% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.64%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 25.5% ( | 20.4% ( | 54.09% ( |
| Both teams to score 68.56% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.01% ( | 28.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.04% ( | 49.95% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.1% ( | 22.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.35% ( | 56.64% ( |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.91% ( | 11.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.54% ( | 35.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
| 2-1 @ 6.07% ( 1-0 @ 3.74% ( 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 3-1 @ 2.98% ( 2-0 @ 2.76% ( 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 25.5% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( 2-2 @ 6.67% ( 0-0 @ 2.54% ( 3-3 @ 2.41% ( Other @ 0.56% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 9.05% ( 1-3 @ 6.64% ( 0-2 @ 6.14% ( 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 2-3 @ 4.89% ( 0-3 @ 4.5% ( 1-4 @ 3.65% ( 2-4 @ 2.69% ( 0-4 @ 2.48% ( 1-5 @ 1.61% ( 3-4 @ 1.32% ( 2-5 @ 1.18% ( 0-5 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 54.09% |