Australian A-League | Gameweek 2

Oct 28, 2023 at 5.30am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium

Wellington
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Zawada (9', 9'), Kraev (74', 74')
Barbarouses (45'), Barbarouses (45'), Zawada (88'), Zawada (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Beevers (59', 59')
Susnjar (42'), Susnjar (42'), Colakovski (47'), Colakovski (47')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 0-0 Wellington
Sunday, October 22 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Perth Glory

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, October 22 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 45.29%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Perth Glory
45.29% ( 0.44)	25.09% ( -0.05)	29.63% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 55.17% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.97% (

0.02)

48.03% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.81% (

0.02)

70.2% (

-0.02)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

0.21)

21.23% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.87% (

0.32)

54.13% (

-0.31)

Perth Glory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.04% (

-0.26)

29.96% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.93% (

-0.32)

66.08% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 45.29%

Perth Glory 29.63%

Draw 25.09%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Perth Glory
1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.29%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.22% Total : 29.63%