Australian A-League | Gameweek 26

Apr 29, 2023 at 10.45am UK

AAMI Park

Victory
0 - 1
Brisbane Roar

FT(HT: 0-0)

Courtney-Perkins (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 2-1 Macarthur
Sunday, April 23 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Sydney FC
Monday, April 24 at 10am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Brisbane Roar
46.18% ( -0.46)	24.24% ( -0.04)	29.58% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 57.98% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.67% (

0.45)

44.33% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.3% (

0.44)

66.7% (

-0.44)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.66% (

-0.01)

19.34% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.89% (

-0.02)

51.11% (

0.02)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

0.57)

28.12% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2% (

0.71)

63.8% (

-0.71)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 46.18%

Brisbane Roar 29.58%

Draw 24.24%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 46.18%	1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.76% Total : 29.58%