Australian A-League | Gameweek 3

Nov 4, 2023 at 4.30am UK

Wellington Regional Stadium

Wellington
5 - 2
Brisbane Roar

Payne (24', 24'), Zawada (32', 32', 63', 63', 90+2', 90+2'), Kraev (58', 58')
Kraev (33'), Kraev (33'), Zawada (80'), Zawada (80')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Berenguer (1', 1'), Mileusnic (53', 53')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 2-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, October 28 at 5.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-0 Sydney FC
Friday, October 27 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Brisbane Roar
33.86% ( 0.33)	24.48% ( 0.09)	41.66% ( -0.42)

Both teams to score 59.11% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.31% (

-0.32)

43.69% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.92% (

-0.32)

66.08% (

0.31)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88% (

0.04)

25.12% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.18% (

0.06)

59.82% (

-0.06)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.94% (

-0.33)

21.06% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.13% (

-0.52)

53.87% (

0.52)

Score Analysis

Wellington Phoenix 33.86%

Brisbane Roar 41.66%

Draw 24.48%

Wellington Phoenix	Draw	Brisbane Roar
2-1 @ 7.87% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 33.86%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.48%	1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.69% Total : 41.66%