Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Nov 4, 2023 4.30am
5
2
HT : 4 2
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
  • Tim Payne 24' goal
  • Tim Payne 24' goal
  • Oskar Zawada 32' goal
  • Oskar Zawada 32' goal
  • Bozhidar Kraev 33' yellowcard
  • Bozhidar Kraev 33' yellowcard
  • Bozhidar Kraev 58' goal
  • Bozhidar Kraev 58' goal
  • Oskar Zawada 63' goal
  • Oskar Zawada 63' goal
  • Oskar Zawada 80' yellowcard
  • Oskar Zawada 80' yellowcard
  • Oskar Zawada 90'+2' goal
  • Oskar Zawada 90'+2' goal
  • goal Florin Berenguer 1'
  • goal Florin Berenguer 1'
  • goal Nikola Mileusnic 53'
  • goal Nikola Mileusnic 53'

Wellington Phoenix vs Brisbane Roar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 5.30am
Wellington 2 - 1 Perth Glory
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Kosta Barbarouses

Brisbane Roar

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Oct 27, 2023 9.45am
Brisbane Roar 3 - 0 Sydney FC
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Thomas Waddingham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 33.86% (+0.34)
Draw 24.48% (+0.09)
Brisbane Roar 41.66% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.11% (-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.31% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 43.69% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 33.92% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 66.08% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 17.46% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 82.54% (+0.24)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5 74.88% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 25.12% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 40.18% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 59.82% (-0.07)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5 78.94% (-0.33)
Under 0.5 21.06% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 46.13% (-0.52)
Under 1.5 53.87% (+0.52)

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 33.86%
Draw 24.48%
Brisbane Roar 41.66%
Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 7.87% (+0.06)
1-0 @ 7.31% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 5.05% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 3.62% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.33% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 33.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.48%
Brisbane Roar
1-2 @ 8.87% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 8.24% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.33% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.79% (-0.05)
0-4 @ 1.3% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.24% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.66%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 16, 2023 4.00am
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Westpac Stadium
  • Oskar Zawada 35' goal
  • Yan Sasse 56' goal
  • goal Jay O'Shea 8'
  • goal Scott Neville 82'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Jan 14, 2023 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Suncorp Stadium
  • goal Oskar Zawada 65'
Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Mar 30, 2022 9.05am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luke Ivanovic 17' yellowcard
  • Anton Mlinaric 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jay O'Shea 72' yellowcard
  • goal Scott Neville 28' (OG)
  • goal Ben Waine 48'
  • goal Ben Old 57'
Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Mar 12, 2022 6.05am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Rahmat Akbari 7' goal
  • Juan Lescano 25' yellowcard
  • 26' yellowcard
  • Jesse Daley 57' yellowcard
  • Henry Hore 76' goal
  • yellowcard Tim Payne 31'
  • yellowcard Alex Rufer 36'
  • goal Gary Hooper 72'
  • yellowcard David Ball 90'+4'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Feb 16, 2022 6.25am
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Scott Wootton 33' goal
  • Gael Sandoval 63' goal
  • Reno Piscopo 67' goal
  • Oskar van Hattum 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Neville 77'
Australian A-League Gameweek 2
May 1, 2021 8.05am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Scott Neville 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Devlin 11'
  • yellowcard Louis Fenton 46'