Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Nov 11, 2023 at 4.30am UK

Mars Stadium (Ballarat)

Western Utd
0 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Risdon (60'), Risdon (60')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Stamatelopoulos (44', 44')
Mauragis (51'), Mauragis (51'), Buhagiar (69'), Buhagiar (69')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Western Sydney
Sunday, November 5 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
39.5% ( 0.24)	24.63% ( 0.13)	35.87% ( -0.37)

Both teams to score 58.99% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.97% (

-0.67)

44.03% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.59% (

-0.65)

66.41% (

0.65)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.76% (

-0.18)

22.24% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.32% (

-0.26)

55.67% (

0.26)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86% (

-0.51)

24.13% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.56% (

-0.72)

58.44% (

0.72)

Score Analysis

Western United 39.5%

Newcastle Jets 35.87%

Draw 24.63%

Western United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 39.5%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.63%	1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 35.87%