Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Nov 11, 2023 4.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Mars Stadium (Ballarat)
  • Josh Risdon 60' yellowcard
  • Josh Risdon 60' yellowcard
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 44'
  • goal Apostolos Stamatelopoulos 44'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mauragis 51'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mauragis 51'
  • yellowcard Trent Buhagiar 69'
  • yellowcard Trent Buhagiar 69'

Western United vs Newcastle Jets - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 4, 2023 6.30am
Macarthur 1 - 0 Western Utd
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Michael Ruhs

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 5, 2023 4.00am
Newcastle Jets 2 - 2 Western Sydney
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

Western United 39.5% (+0.24)
Draw 24.63% (+0.14)
Newcastle Jets 35.87% (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.99% (-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.97% (-0.67)
Under 2.5 44.03% (+0.67)
Over 3.5 33.59% (-0.66)
Under 3.5 66.41% (+0.66)
Over 4.5 17.22% (-0.48)
Under 4.5 82.77% (+0.48)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 77.76% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 22.24% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 44.32% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 55.67% (+0.27)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 75.86% (-0.51)
Under 0.5 24.13% (+0.51)
Over 1.5 41.56% (-0.73)
Under 1.5 58.44% (+0.73)

Score analysis

Western United 39.5%
Draw 24.63%
Newcastle Jets 35.87%
Western United
2-1 @ 8.62% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.07% (+0.20)
2-0 @ 6.06% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.04% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 39.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.47% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 5.37% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.63%
Newcastle Jets
1-2 @ 8.15% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 7.63% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 5.42% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.03% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.87%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Feb 25, 2023 6.00am
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Beka Mikeltadze 33' goal
  • goal Noah Botic 3'
  • goal Noah Botic 29'
  • goal Tongo Doumbia 72'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Jan 15, 2023 6.00am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Whitten Oval
  • Lachlan Wales 13' goal
  • goal Daniel Stynes 17'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
May 4, 2022 10.05am
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jordan Elsey 47' yellowcard
  • Jordan Elsey 52' goal
  • Brandon Wilson 61' yellowcard
  • goal Adisu Bayew 27'
  • yellowcard Neil Kilkenny 75'
  • yellowcard Leo Lacroix 90'+5'
Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Mar 5, 2022 4.05am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Leo Lacroix 16' goal
  • Neil Kilkenny 25' yellowcard
  • Leo Lacroix 52' goal
  • Jerry Skotadis 62' yellowcard
  • Nikolai Topor-Stanley 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jason Hoffman 40'
  • yellowcard Daniel Penha 49'
  • yellowcard Olivier Boumal 74'
  • goal Angus Thurgate 81'
  • yellowcard Angus Thurgate 90'+1'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Apr 26, 2021 10.05am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nikolai Topor-Stanley 12' goal
  • Dylan Pierias 57' yellowcard
  • Dylan Pierias 69' goal
  • yellowcard Valentino Yuel 26'
  • yellowcard Roy O'Donovan 60'
  • yellowcard Liridon Krasniqi 80'
Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 5, 2021 8.05am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Luka Prso 13' yellowcard
  • Nikolai Topor-Stanley 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Matthew Millar 73' yellowcard
  • Ali Abbas 90' yellowcard
  • goal Lachlan Wales 1'
  • yellowcard Brendan Hamill 67'