Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 16.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Zhejiang Professional win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.