Melbourne City
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 12, 2023 at 9.30am UK
AAMI Park

Melbourne City
1 - 1
Zhejiang

Arslan (54')
MacLaren (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mushekwi (90+9')
Wang (12'), Andrijasevic (14'), Mushekwi (21')
Wang (90+11')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Melbourne City and Zhejiang Professional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-2 Melbourne City
Sunday, December 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Next Game: Perth Glory vs. Melbourne City
Friday, December 8 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 16.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.74%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Zhejiang Professional win it was 1-2 (4.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawZhejiang Professional
65.75% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)17.34% (0.042000000000002 0.04)16.91% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 66.43% (-0.206 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.94% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)26.06% (0.229 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.71% (-0.3 -0.3)46.29% (0.294 0.29)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.45% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)7.55% (0.065 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.95% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)27.05% (0.17 0.17)
Zhejiang Professional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85% (-0.17100000000001 -0.17)28.15% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.17% (-0.214 -0.21)63.83% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 65.75%
    Zhejiang Professional 16.91%
    Draw 17.34%
Melbourne CityDrawZhejiang Professional
2-1 @ 8.99% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 7.09% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 6.11% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.49% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
4-1 @ 5% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.95% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 3.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.04% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.34% (-0.018 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.11% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.58%
Total : 65.75%
1-1 @ 6.96% (0.046 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.12% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 17.34%
1-2 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.69% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.41% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 16.91%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 1pm
Group Stage
Zhejiang
1-2
Melbourne City
Leonardo (19' pen.)
Tixiang (56'), Zhang (75')
Behich (4'), Caputo (17')
Ugarkovic (26'), Arslan (57'), Caputo (64'), Good (90+4')