Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 37.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.72%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
38.99% (![]() | 23.54% (![]() | 37.47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.24% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.43% (![]() | 38.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.13% (![]() | 60.86% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.88% (![]() | 20.11% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.63% (![]() | 52.37% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.16% (![]() | 20.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.48% (![]() | 53.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 8.45% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.39% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.81% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.09% Total : 38.99% | 1-1 @ 10.54% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.63% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.19% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.85% ( ![]() Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 8.27% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.7% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.06% ( ![]() Other @ 2.88% Total : 37.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |