Australian A-League | Gameweek 3

Nov 4, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Marvel Stadium

Victory
1 - 1
Adelaide United

Fornaroli (28', 28')
Miranda (58'), Marchan (90+1'), Chapman (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Ibusuki (59')
Madanha (22'), Madanha (22'), Irankunda (79'), Veart (81')
Irankunda (90+6')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 5-3 Newcastle Jets
Sunday, October 29 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 6-0 Melbourne City
Sunday, October 29 at 8am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Adelaide United
44.27% ( 1.82)	22.67% ( -0.79)	33.07% ( -1.02)

Both teams to score 65.55% (

2.62)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.85% (

3.58)

35.15% (

-3.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.85% (

3.88)

57.15% (

-3.88)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.53% (

2.17)

16.47% (

-2.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.83% (

3.78)

46.17% (

-3.78)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.48% (

1.13)

21.52% (

-1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.41% (

1.7)

54.58% (

-1.7)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 44.27%

Adelaide United 33.07%

Draw 22.67%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.7) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.37) 3-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.41) 3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.32) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.16) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.61% Total : 44.27%	1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.68) 3-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.67%	1-2 @ 7.54% ( -0.28) 0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.83) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.47) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.23) 0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.6% Total : 33.07%