Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 8
Dec 16, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Sydney FC

Victory
3 - 0
Sydney FC

Arzani (20'), Machach (24'), Fornaroli (57')
Traore (48'), Brimmer (56'), Folami (66'), Fornaroli (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

King (44'), Grant (71')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Last Game: Western Sydney 3-4 Victory
Sunday, December 10 at 6am in Australian A-League

Sydney FC

All competitions
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-2 Macarthur
Saturday, December 9 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.33%. A win for Sydney FC had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Sydney FC win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
44.33% (-0.052 -0.05)23.37% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)32.3% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 62.57% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (0.155 0.16)38.91% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.76% (0.162 0.16)61.23% (-0.165 -0.16)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (0.039999999999992 0.04)17.94% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.24% (0.070999999999998 0.07)48.76% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.25% (0.119 0.12)23.75% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.11% (0.169 0.17)57.89% (-0.171 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 44.33%
    Sydney FC 32.3%
    Draw 23.37%
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.29% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.72% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 44.33%
1-1 @ 10.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.5% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.37%
1-2 @ 7.56% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.12% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.12% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.3%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 9.45am
Gameweek 1
Sydney FC
0-2
Victory

Brattan (35'), Grant (78')
Fornaroli (62'), Machach (86')
Machach (48'), Marchan (76'), Ikonomidis (90+3')
Mar 4, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 19
Sydney FC
1-0
Victory
Caceres (35')
> Preview
Jan 26, 2023 7.45am
Gameweek 14
Victory
1-2
Sydney FC
Brimmer (26')
Burgess (32'), Le Fondre (52')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 9.45am
Gameweek 1
Sydney FC
2-3
Victory
Mak (15'), Donachie (79')
D'Agostino (31'), Ikonomidis (67'), Brillante (83')
May 7, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 19
Sydney FC
1-4
Victory
Le Fondre (16')
Retre (28'), Yazbek (77')
D'Agostino (14'), Brimmer (30'), Geria (38'), Hamill (87')
Marchan (69')