Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Perth Glory had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 1-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Perth Glory win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 58.15% ( | 21.21% ( | 20.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.76% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.11% ( | 38.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.79% ( | 61.2% ( |
| Sydney FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.85% ( | 13.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.16% ( | 39.84% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.66% ( | 32.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.15% ( | 68.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sydney FC | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 3-0 @ 5.92% ( 3-2 @ 3.77% ( 4-1 @ 3.39% ( 4-0 @ 3% ( 4-2 @ 1.91% ( 5-1 @ 1.37% ( 5-0 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.63% Total : 58.15% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0-2 @ 2.71% ( 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 20.64% |