Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 37.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.74%) and 2-0 (4.93%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 39.41% ( | 22.65% ( | 37.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 66.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66% ( | 34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.13% ( | 55.87% ( |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( | 17.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.2% ( | 48.8% ( |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.39% ( | 18.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.1% ( | 49.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 1-0 @ 5.74% ( 2-0 @ 4.93% ( 3-1 @ 4.74% ( 3-2 @ 3.99% ( 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 4-0 @ 1.21% ( 4-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3% Total : 39.41% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 3-3 @ 2.24% ( Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 2-3 @ 3.9% ( 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.91% ( 2-4 @ 1.64% ( 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 3-4 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.94% |