Australian A-League | Gameweek 5

Nov 26, 2023 at 6am UK

Mars Stadium (Ballarat)

Western Utd
1 - 3
Adelaide United

Wales (53')
Lustica (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Halloran (30'), Popovic (56'), Jovanovic (63')
Duzel (69')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 11 at 4.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 1-5 Sydney FC
Saturday, November 11 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Western United	Draw	Adelaide United
32.53% ( 0.27)	22.81% ( 0.26)	44.66% ( -0.54)

Both teams to score 64.78% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.93% (

-1.2)

36.07% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.83% (

-1.33)

58.17% (

1.33)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74% (

-0.42)

22.26% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.3% (

-0.64)

55.7% (

0.64)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.32% (

-0.67)

16.68% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.45% (

-1.22)

46.55% (

1.22)

Score Analysis

Western United 32.53%

Adelaide United 44.66%

Draw 22.81%

Western United	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.36% Total : 32.53%	1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.81%	1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.39% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.43% Total : 44.66%