Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Nov 26, 2023 6.00am
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Mars Stadium (Ballarat)
  • Steven Lustica 49' yellowcard
  • Lachlan Wales 53' goal
  • goal Ben Halloran 30'
  • goal Alexandar Popovic 56'
  • goal Luka Jovanovic 63'
  • yellowcard Luke Duzel 69'

Western United vs Adelaide United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 4.30am
Western Utd 0 - 1 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Michael Ruhs

Adelaide United

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Nov 11, 2023 8.45am
Adelaide United 1 - 5 Sydney FC
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Hiroshi Ibusuki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.65%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result

Western United 32.53% (+0.28)
Draw 22.81% (+0.27)
Adelaide United 44.66% (-0.54)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.78% (-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.93% (-1.20)
Under 2.5 36.07% (+1.21)
Over 3.5 41.83% (-1.33)
Under 3.5 58.17% (+1.34)
Over 4.5 23.62% (-1.11)
Under 4.5 76.37% (+1.11)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5 77.74% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 22.26% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 44.3% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 55.7% (+0.64)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5 83.32% (-0.68)
Under 0.5 16.68% (+0.68)
Over 1.5 53.45% (-1.22)
Under 1.5 46.55% (+1.22)

Score analysis

Western United 32.53%
Draw 22.81%
Adelaide United 44.66%
Western United
2-1 @ 7.5% (+0.10)
1-0 @ 5.58% (+0.26)
2-0 @ 4.19% (+0.15)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 2.1% (+0.05)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 32.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.99% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 6.72% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 3.71% (+0.22)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.10)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 22.81%
Adelaide United
1-2 @ 8.95% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.65% (+0.25)
0-2 @ 5.95% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.34% (-0.12)
2-3 @ 4.01% (-0.14)
0-3 @ 3.56% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.39% (-0.11)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.11)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 44.66%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 24
Apr 16, 2023 8.00am
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Coopers Stadium
  • goal Connor Pain 44'
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Feb 11, 2023 6.00am
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Whitten Oval
  • Noah Botic 43' goal
  • Aleksandar Prijovic 48' goal
  • goal Zach Clough 68'
  • goal Ryan Kitto 76'
  • goal Craig Goodwin 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Nov 6, 2022 6.00am
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT Whitten Oval
  • Nicolas Milanovic 53' goal
  • Dylan Pierias 90'+1' goal
  • goal Hiroshi Ibusuki 9'
  • goal Craig Goodwin 22'
  • goal Leo Lacroix 31' (OG)
  • goal Ben Halloran 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 25
May 8, 2022 9.20am
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Javi Lopez 14' goal
  • Alexandar Popovic 20' yellowcard
  • Ryan Kitto 51' goal
  • Joe Gauci 77' yellowcard
  • Louis D'Arrigo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Wenzel-Halls 5'
  • yellowcard Aleksandar Prijovic 41'
  • yellowcard Ben Garuccio 90'+2'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Dec 17, 2021 8.45am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Nikolai Topor-Stanley 25' yellowcard
  • Connor Pain 44' goal
  • Josh Risdon 49' yellowcard
  • Leo Lacroix 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juande 24'
  • yellowcard Jacob Tratt 62'
  • yellowcard Isaias Sanchez 65'
Australian A-League Gameweek 8
Apr 30, 2021 10.35am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Louis D'Arrigo 16' yellowcard
  • Ben Halloran 32' yellowcard
  • Craig Goodwin 41' yellowcard
  • Jordan Elsey 83' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Toure 84' yellowcard
  • Alhassan Toure 90' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Toure 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Victor Sanchez 15'
  • redcard Victor Sanchez 36'
  • yellowcard Andrew Durante 90'