Adelaide United
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Macarthur
Melbourne City
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Sydney FC
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Western Sydney Wanderers
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 6
Dec 4, 2023 at 8am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Adelaide United

Macarthur
4 - 3
Adelaide United

Germain (8'), Millar (24'), Hollman (82'), Davila (84')
Germain (41')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Clough (17', 53'), Bovalina (45+2')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Adelaide United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

All competitions
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Victory
Friday, November 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Adelaide United

All competitions
Last Game: Western Utd 1-3 Adelaide United
Sunday, November 26 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.44%) and 1-0 (5.22%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawAdelaide United
44.1% (0.632 0.63)21.75% (0.082999999999998 0.08)34.15% (-0.718 -0.72)
Both teams to score 69.54% (-0.569 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.88% (-0.646 -0.65)30.12% (0.64 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.66% (-0.78 -0.78)51.33% (0.775 0.77)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)14.55% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.4% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)42.59% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (-0.637 -0.64)18.61% (0.632 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (-1.079 -1.08)49.91% (1.074 1.07)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 44.1%
    Adelaide United 34.15%
    Draw 21.75%
MacarthurDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.119 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.44% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 5.22% (0.182 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.03% (0.17 0.17)
3-2 @ 4.57% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.23% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.031 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.2% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.05 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.23% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 44.1%
1-1 @ 8.78% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 7.11% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.71% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 2.56% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.75%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.55% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.14% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.99% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.83% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.15% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.74% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.9% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.15%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Adelaide United

Macarthur
83.3%
Draw
16.7%
Adelaide United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 13
Adelaide United
1-0
Macarthur
Clough (6')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 5am
Gameweek 2
Macarthur
2-0
Adelaide United
Apr 8, 2022 10.45am
Gameweek 23
Adelaide United
1-0
Macarthur
Ibusuki (45+1')
Brook (56'), Ibusuki (81')

Uskok (87'), (87')
Feb 19, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 15
Macarthur
4-1
Adelaide United
Giannou (43'), Noone (67'), Toure (73'), Ruhs (90+1')
Susnjar (28'), Noone (31'), McGing (75')
Goodwin (20')
Goodwin (46'), Caletti (72')
Apr 14, 2021 10.35am
Gameweek 11
Adelaide United
3-1
Macarthur
Juric (15'), Goodwin (72' pen.), Halloran (81')
Halloran (43'), Juande (65')
Derbyshire (33')
Rose (70'), Popovic (88')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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