Australian A-League
Gameweek
9
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fadelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F01%2Fjetlog.png)
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
14'
-
Zach Clough
68'
-
Ben Halloran
70'
-
Nestory Irankunda
76'
-
Dane Ingham
9'
-
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
14'
-
Justin Vidic
89'
Adelaide United vs Newcastle Jets - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.
Result
Adelaide United
48.89%
▲
(+0.44)
Draw
21.42%
▼
(-0.08)
Newcastle Jets
29.69%
▼
(-0.36)
Both Teams to Score:
68.44%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
69.36%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
30.63%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
48.04%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 3.5
51.95%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 4.5
28.97%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 4.5
71.03%
▼
(-0.14)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5
86.84%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
13.16%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 1.5
60.16%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 1.5
39.84%
▼
(-0.37)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5
78.8%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 0.5
21.19%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
45.93%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 1.5
54.07%
▲
(+0.22)
Score analysis
Adelaide United
48.89%
Draw
21.42%
Newcastle Jets
29.69%
Adelaide United
2-1
@
8.9%
▲
(+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
4-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 48.89%
3-1 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.06)
4-1 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.05)
4-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
4-3 @ 1.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 48.89%
Draw
1-1
@
8.77%
▼
(-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.42%
2-2 @ 6.9% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.79% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.42%
Newcastle Jets
1-2
@
6.81%
▼
(-0.06)
0-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 29.69%
0-1 @ 4.33% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.36% ▼ (-0.06)
0-3 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 29.69%
Head to Head
Australian A-League
Gameweek
20
-
Jason Hoffman
16'
-
Angus Thurgate
45'+3'
-
Craig Goodwin
12'
-
Zach Clough
14'
-
Luka Jovanovic
44'
-
Nestory Irankunda
65'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
9
-
Jaushua Sotirio
25'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
18
-
George Blackwood
3'
-
Ryan Kitto
15'
-
Juande
37'
-
Nestory Irankunda
78'
-
Mohamed Toure
88'
-
Mohamed Toure
89'
-
Angus Thurgate
65'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
12
-
Beka Mikeltadze
59'
-
Angus Thurgate
87'
-
Juande
15'
-
Javi Lopez
22'
-
Jacob Tratt
28'
-
Mohamed Toure
29'
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
80'
-
Nestory Irankunda
88'
-
Hiroshi Ibusuki
90'+1'
-
Louis D'Arrigo
90'+4'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
13
-
Steven Ugarkovic
35'
-
Liridon Krasniqi
49'
-
Nigel Boogaard
51'
-
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos
69'
-
Ramy Najjarine
71'
-
Kusini Yengi
5'
-
Stefan Mauk
11'
-
Ben Halloran
40'
-
Craig Goodwin
43'
-
Kusini Yengi
74'
Australian A-League
Gameweek
19
-
Louis D'Arrigo
6'
-
Ben Halloran
17'
-
Craig Goodwin
77'
-
Stefan Mauk
81'
-
Connor O'Toole
22'
-
Ali Abbas
25'