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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 9, 2023 at 6.30am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium
Newcastle Jets
Wellington
0 - 3
Newcastle Jets

Rufer (45+1'), Barbarouses (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Stamatelopoulos (4', 47' pen.), Taylor (43')
Cancar (29')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Utd 0-1 Wellington
Saturday, December 2 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 0-2 Melbourne City
Sunday, December 3 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawNewcastle Jets
43.4% (0.094000000000001 0.09) 22.83% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 33.77% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Both teams to score 65.21% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.3% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)35.7% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.23% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)57.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.97% (0.02000000000001 0.02)17.02% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84% (0.038000000000004 0.04)47.16% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)21.41% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (-0.11 -0.11)54.41% (0.105 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 43.4%
    Newcastle Jets 33.77%
    Draw 22.83%
Wellington PhoenixDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.71% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.01%
3-0 @ 3.37% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.008 0.01)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 43.4%
1-1 @ 9.95% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 22.83%
1-2 @ 7.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 33.77%

Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 2am
Gameweek 19
Wellington
2-1
Newcastle Jets
Elliot (40'), Zawada (45+6' pen.)
Saito (51')
Oct 22, 2022 7am
Mar 18, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 19
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Wellington
Boumal (51', 63'), Mikeltadze (67'), Babalj (83')
Al-Taay (35'), Mikeltadze (77')

Laws (4'), Elliot (74')
Mar 9, 2022 8.45am
Gameweek 9
Wellington
3-2
Newcastle Jets
Sotirio (25' pen.), Waine (45+1'), Ball (88')
Laws (5'), Sutton (90+3')
Penha (42'), Boumal (63')
Jurman (24'), Siatravanis (40'), O'Doherty (76'), Murnane (83')
Dec 10, 2021 8.45am
Gameweek 4
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Wellington
Mikeltadze (32', 52'), Murnane (69'), Penha (80')
Thurgate (45')

Lewis (45+1'), Elliot (50'), Ball (78')
rhs 2.0
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