Australian A-League | Gameweek 6

Dec 2, 2023 at 6.30am UK

GMHBA Stadium

Western Utd
0 - 1
Wellington

Tratt (3'), Tratt (3'), Lustica (33'), Lustica (33')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Old (79', 79')
Pennington (33'), Pennington (33'), Rufer (59'), Rufer (59'), Sutton (90+3'), Sutton (90+3')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Western United and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-3 Adelaide United
Sunday, November 26 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions

Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Melbourne City
Saturday, November 25 at 3.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Western United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
41.18% ( 0.55)	24.73% ( 0.05)	34.09% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 58.3% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.22% (

-0.38)

44.78% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.86% (

-0.37)

67.14% (

0.36)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.24% (

0.1)

21.75% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.06% (

0.15)

54.94% (

-0.15)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.5% (

-0.53)

25.5% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.66% (

-0.73)

60.34% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Western United 41.18%

Wellington Phoenix 34.09%

Draw 24.73%

Western United	Draw	Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 41.18%	1-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73%	1-2 @ 7.9% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.56% Total : 34.09%