Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 49.11%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 49.11% ( | 23.78% ( | 27.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.16% ( | 43.84% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.77% ( | 66.23% ( |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.03% ( | 17.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.19% ( | 48.81% ( |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.37% ( | 29.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.33% ( | 65.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Perth Glory |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 1-0 @ 9.14% ( 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 3-1 @ 5.46% ( 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 2.34% ( 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 3.62% Total : 49.11% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0-3 @ 1.6% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 27.11% |