Australian A-League | Gameweek 27

Jan 13, 2024 at 6.15am UK

Allianz Stadium

Central Coast
1 - 1
Victory

Reec (89')
Kuol (29'), Farrell (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Arzani (33' pen.)
Monge (7'), Da Silva (25'), Miranda (84'), Velupillay (90+4')

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 0-1 Central Coast
Saturday, January 6 at 6.30am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Perth Glory 2-3 Victory
Saturday, January 6 at 10.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 51.14%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.27%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne Victory
51.14% ( 0.17)	21.26% ( -0.04)	27.59% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 67.35% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.62% (

0.13)

31.37% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.17% (

0.16)

52.82% (

-0.16)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.27% (

0.1)

12.73% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.03% (

0.2)

38.96% (

-0.2)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.17% (

-0.01)

22.82% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.46% (

-0.01)

56.54% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 51.14%

Melbourne Victory 27.59%

Draw 21.26%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.14%	1-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.26%	1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 27.59%